Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Melilla		Antequera

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.85	2.9	2.35
	2.8	3	2.55	Watch
	3	2.96	2.59
	3	2.91	2.59
	2.94	2.97	2.47
	2.9	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.63)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
31.7%

Draw
31.2%

Antequera
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Melilla - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 16. Caro J. 3. Yuste A. 22. Gnali J. 5. Masogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 7. Garcia M. 17. Perez S. 11. Vinicius Tanque 20. Garcia D.	1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Fomeyem F. 4. Humanes D. (C) 22. Ruiz F. 20. Rydstrand J. 14. Pais N. 9. Redondo L. 27. Enokpa D. 15. Solano R. 7. Buron L.
Substitutes
23. Cantarero O. 8. Cotan A. 21. Hernandez J. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Marchena A. 15. Martin D. 2. Pepe Romero 19. Rodriguez M. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 24. Serrano J. (G)	17. Garcia A. 5. Marcelo A. 16. Marin A. 10. Nunez C. 6. Pavon A. 13. Puerto E. (G) 19. Sousa C.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Antequera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Melilla - Intercity	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Ceuta - Melilla	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.10.23	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antequera - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Antequera - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.22	Antequera - Melilla	1:3
02.08.16	Antequera - Melilla	2:1

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