Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Ferrandina		Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.15	2.62
	2.42	3.23	2.71	Watch
	2.38	3.18	2.65
	2.45	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 (2.41)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)	2.66 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrandina
37.5%

Draw
28.5%

Francavilla
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ferrandina - Francavilla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ferrandina (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrandina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Gentile C. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Francavilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrandina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Ferrandina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Francavilla	6	1	0	5	3:7	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Acerrana - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ferrandina - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Ferrandina - Heraclea	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nardo - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Ferrandina - Nola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLW
- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.01.26	Francavilla - Pompei	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.01.26	Ancona - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.01.26	Manfredonia - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Afragolese - Francavilla	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Francavilla - Sarnese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Ferrandina - Francavilla	2:3

Ferrandina - Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide