Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 5

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Maniema Union		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.8	Watch
	4.2	2.95	1.82
	4.5	3.2	1.83	Watch
	4.7	3.14	1.87	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.85
	4.72	3.15	1.89	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.1)	3.08 ↑ (3)	1.84 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Maniema Union
20.4%

Draw
29.8%

Mamelodi Sundowns
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maniema Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maniema Union's form might have worsened.

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Maniema Union - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Efonge B. (G) 9. Kalowa K. 8. Sangana O. 7. Amongo B. 6. Bakasu J. 23. Moanda E. 13. Bokomboli A. 11. Mbala O. 32. Kitambala J. 26. Simete T. 25. Ndombele Lutaladio O. (C)	30. Williams R. (C) 20. Kekana G. 21. Mkhulise S. 27. Morena T. 29. Lunga D. 9. Arthur Sales 10. Ribeiro L. 11. Allende M. 13. Rayners I. 5. Lebusa M. 4. Mokoena T.
Substitutes
39. Joel L. 22. Kambele J. 1. Mobaelua N. (G) 3. Mpindi J. 10. Musinga R. 19. Nsimba J. 28. Ozome C. 24. Panzi B. C. 4. Sefu P.	37. Johannes K. 2. Khoza M. 16. Lethlaku K. 12. Maema N. 14. Mashego T. 17. Matthews T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 8. Saavedra E. 38. Shalulile P.
Coaches
Kimoto P.	Mngqithi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Kitambala J. ⚽, Moanda E. (A),
43', Allende M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
59', Amongo B. 🟨,
63', Lunga D. ↓, Mashego T. ↑,
63', Mkhulise S. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
65', Mbala O. ↓, Kambele J. ↑,
79', Lebusa M. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
79', Morena T. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
82', Amongo B. ↓, Mpindi J. ↑,
82', Kalowa K. ↓, Panzi B. C. ↑,
82', Kitambala J. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Shalulile P. ⚽, Mokoena T. (A),
89', Bakasu J. ↓, Musinga R. ↑,
90+4', Panzi B. C. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Moanda E. (Own goal),

Preview

Mamelodi Sundowns is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of guest games.

Mamelodi Sundowns will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maniema Union won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Maniema Union
CAF Champions League
04.01.25	FAR Rabat - Maniema Union	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Maniema Union - FAR Rabat	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Maniema Union - Raja Casablanca	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Maniema Union	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Maniema Union	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LTTTT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
04.01.25	Raja Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
28.12.24	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
24.12.24	AmaZulu - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.12.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Raja Casablanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Maniema Union	0:0

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