Match Info

1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.48	3.16	2.68	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.8
	2.47	3.35	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.42	3.14	2.64
	2.45	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.69 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
37.4%

Draw
28.4%

Bandırmaspor
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Manisa (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 13. Ibik A. 19. Erdem U. 60. Toure B. 10. Lindseth J. 7. Vargas A. 20. Benrahou Y. 2. Talum Y. 9. Diony L. (C)	1. Ozcimen A. (G) 27. Alici K. 2. Ceylan O. 33. Nukan A. (C) 53. Albayrak M. 88. Esendemir Y. 10. Gumuskaya M. 7. Fall M. 4. Hountondji C. 9. Kehinde T. 99. Douglas Tanque
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 99. Basar M. (G) 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 25. Cissokho M. 24. Dursun Y. 17. Kahraman O. 23. Kiprit M. 65. Sen A. 8. Sonmez K.	30. Acar E. 16. Alkan A. (G) 24. Amaral J. 34. Aydin E. 8. Cinemre E. 22. Midilic Y. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Pektas A.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Alici K. ⚽, Kehinde T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', Kehinde T. ↓, Amaral J. ↑,
58', Erdem U. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Amaral J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Vargas A. ⚽, Karapo A. (A),
63', Fall M. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Diony L. ⚽, Vargas A. (A),
70', Ibik A. ↓, Sonmez K. ↑,
70', Albayrak M. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
83', Fall M. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
83', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Benrahou Y. ⚽, Diony L. (A),
90+1', Lindseth J. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
90+1', Vargas A. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
90+3', Talum Y. 🟨,
90+5', Acar E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Badji A. (Red Card) Celibkay T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y. (Injury) Karakus V. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bandirmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	7	10
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Manisa FK - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
13.02.26	Erokspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Manisa FK - Boluspor	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hatayspor - Manisa FK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWT
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Adana Demirspor - Bandırmaspor	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bandırmaspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:4
04.05.25	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	1:1
05.01.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	2:3
07.04.24	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:1
12.11.23	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	0:2
12.04.23	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	0:1
13.11.22	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	2:1

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