The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 4.6%
Draw 10.4%
Manisa FK 84.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.9%
22.5%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
22.1%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.
Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manisa FK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-24.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manisa FK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
10%
60%
Hatayspor - Manisa FK Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Manisa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Manisa (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Manisa (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Saricali D. (G) 33. Aydemir E. 97. Sen M. 95. Buz Y. A. 13. Aksoy E. 15. Yilmaz B. 20. Yildiz A. 31. Matur O. 30. Guler E. 18. Durmushan U. 9. Aksoy D.
1. Karakus V. (G) 2. Talum Y. 4. Herelle C. 13. Ibik A. 27. Gureler Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 11. Adekanye B. 9. Diony L. 23. Kiprit M.
Substitutes
66. Abdulkadir A. 19. Aksu C. B. 71. Cicek M. 45. Cinar Baytar M. 78. Daduk E. (G) 68. Topal A. 77. Uzel B.
21. Akboga E. 22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 25. Cissokho M. 19. Erdem U. 17. Kahraman O. 37. Ozcelik C. 32. Uslu M. 70. Vargas A. 44. Yildiz A. Y.
Coaches
Irtegun B.
Dalci M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Aksoy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Toure B. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Matur O. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Yildiz A. ↓, Aksu C. B. ↑,
60', Herelle C. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
60', Kiprit M. ↓, Erdem U. ↑,
64', Toure B. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
64', Guler E. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
66', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Diony L. ⚽, Talum Y. (A),
76', Gureler Y. 🟨,
84', Adekanye B. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
85', Aydemir E. ↓, Abdulkadir A. ↑,
88', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
90+4', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Benrahou Y. ⚽,
90+7', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
90+8', Vargas A. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Aksoy E. ⚽, Matur O. (A),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Manisa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Manisa is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Manisa: Karapo A.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Manisa: Karapo A.
(Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hatayspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Saricali D. (G) 
Herelle C. 
Toure B. (C) 
Lindseth J. 
Benrahou Y. 
Adekanye B. 
Diony L. 
Cissokho M. 
Vargas A. 
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