Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Yildirim D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports MAX 1, Tabii Spor 6


	Manisa FK		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.20	3.25	2.00
	3.87	3.63	1.79	Watch
	4.53	3.63	1.83
	4.07	3.83	1.78	Watch
	4.45	3.5	1.79
	3.84	3.64	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (2.6)	3.57 ↑ (3.38)	1.83 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
23.6%

Draw
25.9%

Erokspor
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erokspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manisa FK - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yayli E. (G) 22. Yurdakul K. 5. Herelle C. 45. Ibik A. 3. Kaynak O. 60. Toure B. (C) 20. Benrahou Y. 6. Cankaya A. 23. Anziani J. 7. Talum Y. 70. Vargas A.	22. Canpolat E. (G) 70. Orak F. 21. Ozturk B. 4. Luccas Claro (C) 33. Alic E. 7. Janvier N. 11. Faye M. 8. Kanga G. 5. Okyar M. 17. Coban B. 99. Gueye P.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 99. Basar M. (G) 24. Dursun Y. 27. Gureler Y. 4. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 10. Lindseth J. 25. Sen A.	77. Bilazer H. 20. Buljubasic M. 34. Cetin E. (G) 53. Erdogan Y. 6. Kacar T. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 39. Kas E. 10. Niyaz R. 27. Yazgan F. 88. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Pektas A.	Karaman H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Janvier N. 🟨,
37', Gueye P. 🟨,
39', Yurdakul K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Luccas Claro 🟨,
63', Alic E. 🟨,
68', Gueye P. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
74', Kaynak O. ↓, Gureler Y. ↑,
75', Coban B. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
75', Faye M. ↓, Erdogan Y. ↑,
78', Talum Y. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Ibik A. ⚽,
84', Okyar M. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
84', Janvier N. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
90', Kanga G. 🟨,
90', Benrahou Y. ↓, Dursun Y. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 15th and 16th).

Manisa has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Erokspor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Erokspor is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Manisa: Karakus V. (Yellow Cards) Sylla C. (Red Card).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Manisa has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manisa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Manisa FK	10	2	4	4	15:16	-1	10
16	Erokspor	10	1	6	3	6:11	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
10.10.26	Kayserispor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
10.10.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bursaspor - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Erokspor - Kayserispor	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.02.26	Erokspor - Manisa FK	3:1
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4
08.03.25	Erokspor - Manisa FK	1:1
28.10.24	Manisa FK - Erokspor	0:1

Upcoming Matches