Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Muğlaspor

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.20	3.25	2.70
	2.42	3.37	2.61	Watch
	2.48	3.6	2.8
	2.26	3.64	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.47	3.38	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.12)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	2.7 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
38.9%

Draw
27%

Muğlaspor
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Muğlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muğlaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Manisa FK - Muğlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 22. Yurdakul K. 5. Herelle C. 45. Ibik A. 3. Kaynak O. 17. Kahraman O. 60. Toure B. (C) 6. Cankaya A. 70. Vargas A. 20. Benrahou Y. 23. Anziani J.	17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 28. Engin A. 88. Fidan Y. 44. Mago L. 5. Matur O. 23. Guneren A. 20. Bulut B. 11. Diarra M. 10. Avramovski D. (C) 91. Furat E. 27. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 24. Dursun Y. 27. Gureler Y. 4. Inal F. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 10. Lindseth J. 25. Sen A. 96. Tibukoglu B. 13. Yayli E. (G)	3. Barak A. 7. Camaj D. 22. Ceylan B. 31. Ekinci A. (G) 30. Ekiz B. 53. Kazmaz A. 15. Nahirci O. 13. Osundina K. 48. Sol O. 9. Yildirim P.
Coaches
Coskun S.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Furat E. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Sissoko I. ⚽, Avramovski D. (A),
32', Sissoko I. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 0 - 3, Diarra M. ⚽,
34', Kahraman O. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
40', 1 - 3, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 2 - 3, Benrahou Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Fidan Y. 🟨,
56', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
59', Yurdakul K. ↓, Inal F. ↑,
60', Toure B. ↓, Lindseth J. ↑,
62', Furat E. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
62', Matur O. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
73', Engin A. ↓, Ceylan B. ↑,
73', Sissoko I. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
82', Bulut B. ↓, Nahirci O. ↑,
83', Herelle C. 🟨,
84', 2 - 4, Avramovski D. ⚽, Diarra M. (A),
86', Avramovski D. 🟨,
86', Mago L. 🟥,
89', 3 - 4, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Guneren A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Diarra M. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14th and 13th).

Recent results have been tough for Manisa (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Muğlaspor has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Muğlaspor: Celhaka J. (Yellow Cards) Guler I. (Inactive) Uzunoglu Y. (Yellow Cards).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Manisa has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Manisa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Muglaspor	12	4	6	2	18:14	4	18
17	Manisa FK	12	2	4	6	19:22	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
15.10.26	Manisa FK - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Kayserispor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- Muğlaspor
Turkish First League
15.10.26	Muğlaspor - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sivasspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Muğlaspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Manisa FK - Muğlaspor	0:2

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