Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Cromer Park (Sydney)


	Manly United		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.96	3.7	3.7
	1.95	3.43	3.68	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.99	3.5	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.28)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.39 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly United
46.6%

Draw
26.3%

University of New South Wales
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manly United's performance.

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and University of New South Wales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+5%)

Manly United - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly United
Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Marconi Stallions - Manly United	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Manly United	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	University of New South Wales - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	University of New South Wales - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTL

Manly United - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide