What is the expert prediction for University of New South Wales vs Blacktown City?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for University of New South Wales vs Blacktown City. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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University of New South Wales vs Blacktown City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, May 02, 2026)

Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: The Village Green (Sydney)


	University of New South Wales		Blacktown City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.22	Watch
	2.63	4.08	2.35
	7.39	4.02	1.45	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.2
	2.5	3.78	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.19)	3.77 ↑ (3.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of New South Wales
27.4%

Draw
25.9%

Blacktown City
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that University of New South Wales's form might have worsened.

Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blacktown City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University of New South Wales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blacktown City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Harb J. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Mallia M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Major T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

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Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	UNSW	17	6	4	7	25:23	2	22
15	Blacktown City	17	3	6	8	23:30	-7	15

Last Results with these Odds

Blacktown City - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
25.04.26	Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	University of New South Wales - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLW
- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.26	Blacktown City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Blacktown City - Wollongong Wolves	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTL

University of New South Wales - Blacktown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide