Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 14

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Manningham United		Oakleigh Cannons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10.5	7	1.19
	11	6.5	1.17	Watch
	11.78	7.72	1.19
	11.71	7.73	1.18
	9.5	5.8	1.2
	12.2	7.09	1.15	Watch
	9.2	6.6	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.84 ↑ (5.73)	6.92 ↑ (4.5)	1.18 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manningham United
8.5%

Draw
13.3%

Oakleigh Cannons
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

20%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manningham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manningham United's form might have worsened.

Oakleigh Cannons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oakleigh Cannons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manningham United than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manningham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakleigh Cannons than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oakleigh Cannons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manningham United - Oakleigh Cannons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Guest J. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Salmon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Ramirez J. 🟥,
62', 0 - 3, Hampson C. ⚽,
72', Eliopoulos J. 🟥,
81', 1 - 3, Guest J. (Own goal),
84', 1 - 4, Valentini S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Manningham United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oakleigh is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Oakleigh is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Manningham United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manningham United
Australian NPL Victoria
11.05.24	Manningham United - Altona Magic	4:5 ✺
04.05.24	Heidelberg United - Manningham United	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Manningham United - Dandenong City	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Manningham United - Hume City	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Moreland City - Manningham United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Oakleigh Cannons
Australian NPL Victoria
11.05.24	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	Melbourne Knights - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Oakleigh Cannons - St Albans Dinamo	3:2 ✺
12.04.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Avondale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
09.02.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Manningham United	3:0

Manningham United - Oakleigh Cannons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide