Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Vilanova		Tona

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.15	3.55
	2.10	3.20	3.42	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.96	3.36	3.82
	1.92	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	3.72 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilanova
46.4%

Draw
29.1%

Tona
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilanova's performance.

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Vilanova - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟥,
70', 0 - 1, Roquet M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Vilanova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Tona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vilanova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vilanova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CF Vilanova	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.01.26	Vilanova - Lleida	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Can Vidalet - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	LEscala - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Vilanova - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mollerussa - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWT
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
10.01.26	LEscala - Tona	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mollerussa - Tona	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Tona - San Cristóbal	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Cornellà - Tona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
06.09.25	Tona - Vilanova	1:1

Vilanova - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide