Match Info

Date: 5 November 2020, Thursday


	Manta		Santa Rita

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.1
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.23	3.05	3
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.48	3.24	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.74)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.98 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
40.6%

Draw
28.8%

Santa Rita
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.

Santa Rita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Rita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+25.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Rita than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Rita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Manta - Santa Rita Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 30 - 60%). Santa Rita will win (votes: 15 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manta: 46.4% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Manta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Rita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Rita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santa Rita have a series of guest games.

Manta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Manta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Manta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.10.20	Manta - Gualaceo	3:2 ✺
27.10.20	Atlético Porteño - Manta	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Fuerza Amarilla - Manta	0:3 ✺
11.10.20	Manta - Atlético Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
05.10.20	América de Quito - Manta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWT
- Associação Atlética Santa Rita
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.10.20	América de Quito - Santa Rita	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Independiente Juniors - Santa Rita	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Santa Rita - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Atlético Porteño - Santa Rita	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Gualaceo - Santa Rita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
28.09.19	Santa Rita - Manta	1:1
07.09.19	Manta - Santa Rita	2:0

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