Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Fuerza Amarilla		Manta

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.6	2.95	2.6
	2.89	3.03	2.57
	2.78	3.1	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	2.54 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerza Amarilla
33.7%

Draw
30.2%

Manta
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

20.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerza Amarilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuerza Amarilla's form might have worsened.

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerza Amarilla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fuerza Amarilla - Manta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Fuerza Amarilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Manta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fuerza Amarilla SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.10.20	Gualaceo - Fuerza Amarilla	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Chacaritas - Fuerza Amarilla	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Fuerza Amarilla - Atlético Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Independiente Juniors - Fuerza Amarilla	2:0 ✺
16.09.20	Fuerza Amarilla - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTLT
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.10.20	Manta - Atlético Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
05.10.20	América de Quito - Manta	2:2 ✺
28.09.20	Manta - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
17.09.20	Gualaceo - Manta	0:1 ✺
10.09.20	Manta - Atlético Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW

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