Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 38

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.56	3.97	5.75
	1.56	3.97	5.75
	1.5	3.9	5.8
	1.52	3.95	5.86
	1.55	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	3.85 ↑ (3.47)	5.61 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
59.7%

Draw
23.9%

Legnago Salus
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Mantova - Legnago Salus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 30. Bragantini D. 13. Brignani F. 8. Burrai S. 4. Celesia C. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D. 28. Muroni M. 5. Redolfi A. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.	22. Tosi R. (G) 24. Boci B. 36. Franzolini A. 77. Martic M. 90. Mbakogu J. 6. Pelagatti C. 10. Rocco D. (C) 18. Sambou B. 14. Travaglini M. 5. Viero F. 32. Zanandrea G.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 16. Cavalli T. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 1. Festa M. (G) 14. Galuppini F. 90. Giacomelli S. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 23. Panizzi E. 17. Radaelli N.	7. Baradji M. 29. Buric N. 12. Businarolo M. (G) 19. Diaby A. 1. Fortin M. (G) 68. Giacomo B. 2. Hadaji A. 3. Mazzali S. 13. Motoc A. 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 21. Ruggeri G. 4. Sbampato E. 9. Svidercoschi S. 28. Travaglini A. 8. van Ransbeeck K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Brignani F. 🟨,
24', Celesia C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Rocco D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Muroni M. ⚽,
63', Viero F. ↓, van Ransbeeck K. ↑,
63', Mbakogu J. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
63', Sambou B. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
69', Muroni M. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
69', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
70', Trimboli S. ↓, Bani C. ↑,
70', Wieser D. ↓, Fedel G. ↑,
73', Mensah D. 🟨,
73', Martic M. 🟨,
77', Tosi R. 🟨,
78', Zanandrea G. ↓, Sbampato E. ↑,
82', Mensah D. ↓, Monachello G. ↑,
86', Fedel G. 🟨,
90+1', Giacomo B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Mantova is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B

Legnago Salus is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2.

Mantova is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Legnago Salus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mantova won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
20.04.24	Lumezzane - Mantova	4:3 ✺
14.04.24	Mantova - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Renate - Mantova	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Mantova - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Trento - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
20.04.24	Legnago Salus - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Novara - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Legnago Salus - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pro Patria - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Vicenza Virtus - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.12.23	Legnago Salus - Mantova	1:2
21.12.21	Mantova - Legnago Salus	2:0
28.08.21	Legnago Salus - Mantova	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Mantova - Legnago Salus	0:2
20.12.20	Legnago Salus - Mantova	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.03.19	Mantova - Legnago Salus	3:1
10.11.18	Legnago Salus - Mantova	2:4

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