The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Renate 36.2%
Draw 30.1%
Mantova 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
26.8%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
26.2%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renate's performance.
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
8.3%
66.7%
Renate - Mantova Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Mantova will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 40% โ 93.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ombra F. (G) 4. Possenti M. 13. Alcibiade R. 44. Bosisio M. 7. Anghileri M. 14. Baldassin L. 8. Esposito G. 21. D'Orsi F. 45. Paudice L. 95. Sorrentino D. 89. Bocalon R.
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 20. Fedel G. 23. Panizzi E. 13. Brignani F. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D. 6. Bani C. 28. Muroni M. 19. Bombagi F. 45. Monachello G. 14. Galuppini F.
Substitutes
37. Acampa D. 16. Alfieri V. 34. Auriletto S. 79. Bracaglia G. 23. Currarino M. 22. Fallani M. (G) 5. Gasperi M. 15. Ghezzi A. 18. Pinzauti L. 10. Procaccio A. 30. Tremolada M. 77. Vimercati A.
24. Argint G. 30. Bragantini D. 8. Burrai S. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 1. Festa M. (G) 90. Giacomelli S. 7. Mensah D. 22. Napoli A. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 5. Redolfi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Paudice L. 🟨,
32', Muroni M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Bocalon R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Paudice L. ↓, Pinzauti L. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Sorrentino D. ⚽,
67', Wieser D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
67', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
77', Ombra F. 🟨,
79', Debenedetti A. 🟨,
80', Bocalon R. ↓, Procaccio A. ↑,
81', Esposito G. ↓, Gasperi M. ↑,
81', Monachello G. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
81', Muroni M. ↓, Argint G. ↑,
89', Sorrentino D. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 2.
Recent matches Renate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mantova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Renate won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.