Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Mantova		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	2.62	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.78	3.31	2.72
	2.67	3.26	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.65
	2.65	3.22	2.58	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.49)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
35%

Draw
28.9%

Pisa
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Mantova - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (C) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 41. Silva J. 25. Ignacchiti L. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 8. Ilie R. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Gliozzi E.	98. Confente A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 72. Zanon S. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 10. Tramoni M. 8. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
30. Bragantini D. 11. Cajazzo I. 71. Chinetti F. 58. Del Lungo T. 1. Gemello L. (G) 18. Keita S. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 20. Paoletti F. 7. Spinacce M. 99. Vlahovic V. 10. Wieser D.	33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 11. Ferrah I. 22. Loria L. (G) 14. Loyola F. 37. Petagna A. 36. Piccinini G. 17. Rao E. 1. Scuffet S. (G) 21. Vural I.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Ignacchiti L. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Pittarello F. ⚽, Moreo S. (A),
43', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Castellini A. 🟨,
54', Silva J. 🟨,
55', Ruocco F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
55', Ilie R. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Moreo S. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
64', Gliozzi E. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
65', Leone G. ↓, Vural I. ↑,
70', Moreo S. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
70', Tramoni M. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
71', Modesto F. 🟥,
80', Silva J. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
80', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Longonda J. ↑,
80', Primasso A. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
80', Zanon S. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
87', Confente A. 🟨,
89', Cajazzo I. 🟨,
89', Calabresi A. 🟨,
90', Cella S. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Vlahovic V. ⚽, Bragantini D. (A),

Preview

Mantova has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Pisa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pisa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Mantova: Meroni A. (Inactive) Radaelli N. (Injury) Trimboli S. (Injury) Vesentini F. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Pisa: Bozhinov R. (Inactive) Leris M. (Red Card) Marras T. (Inactive) Mateus Lusuardi (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Pisa: Primasso A. (Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mantova has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 1.5:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mantova against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Pisa: 4.74% Mantova: 3.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWW
- AC Pisa
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Pisa - Virtus Entella	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Juve Stabia - Pisa	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Pisa - Mantova	3:1
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3

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