Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Mantova		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.10
	2.22	3.05	3.2
	2.37	3.22	3.43
	2.23	3.12	3.39	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.35
	2.27	3.13	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)	3.13 ↑ (3.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mantova
41.3%

Draw
30%

Sampdoria
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Mantova - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sampdoria (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (C) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 41. Silva J. 25. Ignacchiti L. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 8. Ilie R. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Gliozzi E.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 3. Gartenmann S. 15. Delli Carri F. 7. Cicconi M. 6. Henderson L. (C) 45. Makoumbou A. 11. Begic T. 16. Verschaeren Y. 10. Insigne L. 99. Tutino G.
Substitutes
30. Bragantini D. 11. Cajazzo I. 71. Chinetti F. 58. Del Lungo T. 1. Gemello L. (G) 18. Keita S. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 20. Paoletti F. 7. Spinacce M. 99. Vlahovic V. 10. Wieser D.	28. Abildgaard O. 25. Ferrari A. 14. Karamoh Y. 12. Krastev A. (G) 9. Lauritsen T. 96. Massolo S. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 13. Ravanelli L. 20. Sinani D.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Corradi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
28', Insigne L. 🟨,
43', Modesto F. 🟨,
44', Henderson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Begic T. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
55', Gliozzi E. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
56', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Longonda J. ↑,
57', Tutino G. ↓, Lauritsen T. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Ruocco F. ⚽, Castellini A. (A),
64', Lauritsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
66', 2 - 0, Longonda J. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
72', Ilie R. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
72', Ruocco F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
72', Henderson L. ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
72', Insigne L. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,

Preview

Mantova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sampdoria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.

Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mantova: Meroni A. (Inactive) Radaelli N. (Injury) Trimboli S. (Injury) Vesentini F. (Injury)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti F. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Lauritsen T. (Injury) Meijer B. (Injury) Ravanelli L. (Injury) Sekulov N. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Mantova: 3.19% Sampdoria: 2.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Lazio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TLWWW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Cremonese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Sampdoria - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:1
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1
25.01.25	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:2
27.10.24	Sampdoria - Mantova	1:0

Upcoming Matches