Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.17	2.9	3.4
	2.17	3.08	3.31	Watch
	2.12	3.06	3.33
	2.17	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	3.31 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marília
42.1%

Draw
30.5%

Rio Branco de Americana
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Marília - Rio Branco de Americana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Edipo ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Markson ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Tenner ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Marília is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Marília will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.25	Francana - Marília	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Marília - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWL
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP	4:0 ✺
04.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Desportivo Brasil	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	União São João - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL

Marília - Rio Branco de Americana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide