Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 13

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.9	2.92	4.21
	1.84	3.17	4.38	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5.5
	1.83	3.16	4.83
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	4.76 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marília
52.2%

Draw
28.6%

Rio Preto
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Marília - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Alan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Andrade (Pen),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Marília is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marília won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Marília - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Marília - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLW
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Rio Preto - Bandeirante	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Lemense FC - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Preto - Francana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
24.01.24	Rio Preto - Marília	0:0

Marília - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide