Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Marítimo B		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.4
	2	3.15	3.2
	2.04	3.05	3.4
	2.12	3.23	3.54
	2.07	3.24	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo B
44.5%

Draw
28.6%

Amarante
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

19.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo B than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Marítimo B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Marítimo B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marítimo B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.05.21	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Marítimo B - Canelas	4:3 ✺
26.04.21	Amarante - Marítimo B	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Marítimo B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWT
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.05.21	Canelas - Amarante	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
26.04.21	Amarante - Marítimo B	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Leça - Amarante	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Amarante - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.04.21	Amarante - Marítimo B	1:0
14.02.21	Amarante - Marítimo B	0:0
03.02.21	Marítimo B - Amarante	0:1
25.11.18	Marítimo B - Amarante	0:0
14.05.17	Amarante - Marítimo B	2:0
26.03.17	Marítimo B - Amarante	2:1
30.10.16	Marítimo B - Amarante	2:0

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