Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Marítimo B		Régua

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.52	3.85	5.4
	1.5	4.01	5.91
	1.48	3.86	6.07
	1.52	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.02)	3.73 ↑ (3.1)	5.22 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo B
57.6%

Draw
24.7%

Régua
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

20.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo B's performance.

Régua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Régua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo B than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Régua than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Régua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marítimo B - Régua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Régua is Relegated to

Marítimo B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Régua has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marítimo B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marítimo B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marítimo B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Leça - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marítimo B - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Machico - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marítimo B - Guarda FC	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Marítimo B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLL
- SC Régua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Régua - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Coimbrões - Régua	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Camacha - Régua	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Alpendorada - Régua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.11.24	Régua - Marítimo B	1:4

Marítimo B - Régua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide