Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Mara Sugar		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	2.04	2.86	3.73
	2.08	2.96	3.73	Watch
	2.07	2.92	3.66	Watch
	1.96	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	2.92 ↓ (3)	3.69 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
44.4%

Draw
31%

Nairobi United
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mara Sugar - Nairobi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mara Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
27.09.25	Mara Sugar - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.06.25	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	2:1 penalties ✺
21.05.25	Compel - Mara Sugar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW
- Nairobi United
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Nairobi United - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	NEC FC - Nairobi United	2:2 ✺
Kenyan Super Cup
14.09.25	Police FC - Nairobi United	Canceled ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi United	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Super League
08.06.25	Nairobi United - Assad	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TT?WW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
01.06.25	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	2:1 penalties
Kenyan Super League
02.06.24	Mara Sugar - Nairobi United	1:0
16.12.23	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	0:2

Upcoming Matches