Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday


	Mara Sugar		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.62	3.25
	2.47	2.57	3.34	Watch
	2.4	2.5	3.3
	2.37	2.55	3.47
	2.45	2.57	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)	2.56 ↓ (2.86)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
37.4%

Draw
35.3%

Muranga Seal
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

32%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Muranga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Muranga (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muranga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mara Sugar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mara Sugar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
17.12.25	Shabana - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mara Sugar - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Mathare United - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mara Sugar - Tusker	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWLL
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
18.12.25	Muranga Seal - Police FC	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi United - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Muranga Seal - Shabana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal	0:0
29.09.24	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	1:1
Kenyan Super League
28.05.23	Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal	0:0

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