Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Police FC		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.62	3.95
	2.28	2.57	3.79	Watch
	2.05	2.5	4
	2.06	2.78	4.23
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	2.67 ↓ (2.95)	3.91 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
43%

Draw
33.9%

Nairobi United
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

31.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Police FC - Nairobi United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Ochieng O. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Koutiama Y. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Police is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Police FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Nairobi United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.26	Police FC - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Kenya CB - Police FC	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Police FC	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	Muranga Seal - Police FC	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLT
- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
15.01.26	Kenya CB - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Nairobi United - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi United - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super Cup
14.09.25	Police FC - Nairobi United	Canceled

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