Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Central SC

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.5	4.5
	1.98	2.58	4.55
	2.1	2.41	5.2
	1.31	4.72	9.33	Watch
	2.04	2.73	4.15
	2.12	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.15)	2.99 ↓ (3)	5.2 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
49.7%

Draw
31.9%

Central SC
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maranhão's performance.

Central SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maranhão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maranhão - Central SC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Maranhão (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Clessione ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Igor ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 2 - 1, Jo Santos (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maranhão is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Maranhão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.57%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
10.08.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Maranhão - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:1 ✺
26.07.25	Altos - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Maranhão - Maracanã	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
10.08.25	Lagarto - Central SC	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Central SC - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Central SC - Sousa	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	América RN - Central SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.06.19	Maranhão - Central SC	4:3
12.05.19	Central SC - Maranhão	3:0

Maranhão - Central SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide