Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Sabadell		Marbella

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5.15
	1.7	3.37	5.39	Watch
	1.7	3	5
	1.74	3.13	4.9
	1.63	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.39)	5.16 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
53.8%

Draw
28.5%

Marbella
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

27.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sabadell - Marbella Predictions

Users Predictions: Sabadell will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sabadell will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 14. Astals D. 4. Garcia C. 5. Bonaldo 21. Sergi 19. Lopez J. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 7. Ripoll T. 23. Priego J. 17. Coscia A.	13. Vassilev D. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 4. Punal A. 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 8. Eugeni 6. Lopez A. 11. Boussefiane H. 10. Luis Alcalde 20. Cambra J. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 27. Estebe L. 3. Fornes G. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. . Rivera F. 29. Utges J. 32. Vallina M. (G)	5. Acosta L. 18. Du Yuezheng 12. Fattore V. 1. Garcia M. (G) 19. Ohemeng E. 21. Palacin P. 16. Ruiz A. 24. Selma D. 22. Toper

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bonaldo ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Coscia A. ⚽,
39', Garcia C. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia C. ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
46', Luis Alcalde ↓, Selma D. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Liameed Q. ⚽,
56', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
56', Liameed Q. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
56', Ripoll T. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
58', Boussefiane H. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
58', Punal A. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
58', Eugeni ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
65', Escassi A. 🟨,
69', Acosta L. 🟨,
74', 5 - 0, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ⚽,
76', Astals D. ↓, Utges J. ↑,
85', Alvarez J. ↓, Fattore V. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Sabadell is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marbella's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sabadell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabadell is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sabadell will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.26	Hércules - Sabadell	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWL
- Marbella FC
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Marbella - Telstar	Canceled ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.26	Villarreal B - Marbella	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLTL

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