Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Marbella		Alhaurino

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.2	7.4
	1.31	4.24	7.79
	1.29	4.44	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	4.29 ↑ (3.79)	8.73 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
68.8%

Draw
20.9%

Alhaurino
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

21.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbella's performance.

Alhaurino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Marbella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marbella is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
27.03.22	Huétor Tájar - Marbella	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Marbella - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	Atlético Porcuna - Marbella	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Marbella - Torre Del Mar	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Motril - Marbella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.03.22	Alhaurino - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alhaurino	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	2:3 ✺
26.02.22	Torre Del Mar - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Alhaurino - Motril	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.12.21	Alhaurino - Marbella	0:2

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