Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Recreativo Huelva		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.9
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.48	3.05	2.85
	2.5	3.12	2.9
	2.46	3.03	2.84	Watch
	2.47	3	2.84
	2.48	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	2.87 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
37.5%

Draw
30.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvez R. (G) 4. Serrano R. 24. Moreno Meca C. 5. Galvez R. 6. Bahachille A. 14. Del Pozo D. 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 7. Romero P. 23. Soto D. 10. Dominguez A. 9. Quintana C.	25. de Luis M. (G) 2. Lorenzo 14. Ramon J. 4. Pujol E. 29. Rivas M. 23. Yusi 16. Antonio David 27. Fortuny P. 8. Moran M. A. 9. Munoz V. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
31. Almeida J. 15. Armero S. 20. Becken C. 16. Caballero P. 32. Dani Romero 30. Folgado T. (G) 8. Luis Alcalde 12. Nico Njalla 28. Vega I. 33. Vela A.	20. Campos A. 40. Diocou B. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 15. Ribes K. 17. Ruiz D. 37. Valdepenas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', Quintana C. 🟨,
26', Munoz V. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Quintana C. (Pen),
34', Galvez R. ↓, Becken C. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Garcia G. ⚽, Munoz V. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Munoz V. ⚽, Pujol E. (A),
42', Fortuny P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Moreno Meca C. 🟨,
48', Lorenzo 🟨,
51', 1 - 3, Munoz V. ⚽,
56', Ramon J. 🟨,
57', Dominguez A. ↓, Nico Njalla ↑,
57', Moreno Meca C. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Garcia G. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
71', Nico Njalla 🟨,
74', Soto D. ↓, Almeida J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recreativo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.25	Sevilla B - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Intercity - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLTT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.04.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1
14.04.24	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0
30.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.14	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	2:3
12.10.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2
13.04.13	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3
12.11.12	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:1

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