Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 27Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
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Marchamalo |
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Villacañas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
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2.48 |
2.98 |
2.68 |
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2.31 |
3.19 |
2.95 |
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2.36 |
3.16 |
2.88 |
Watch |
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2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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2.36 |
3.15 |
3.05 |
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2.7 |
3 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.7) |
3.04 ↑ (3) |
2.82 ↑ (2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marchamalo 37.8% | Draw 29.9% | Villacañas 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)Marchamalo - Villacañas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rubio A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Marchamalo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
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| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 08.11.25 | Villacañas - Marchamalo | 0:0 | | 22.03.25 | Villacañas - Marchamalo | 1:0 | | 09.11.24 | Marchamalo - Villacañas | 2:0 | | 28.03.24 | Villacañas - Marchamalo | 2:0 | | 29.10.23 | Marchamalo - Villacañas | 1:1 | | 19.02.23 | Villacañas - Marchamalo | 1:1 | | 15.10.22 | Marchamalo - Villacañas | 3:2 |
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