Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 25Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday
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Marchamalo |
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Manchego |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
3.05 |
2.1 |
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3.29 |
3.13 |
2.17 |
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1.52 |
3.88 |
5.98 |
 Watch |
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3.14 |
3.4 |
2.19 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.06) |
3.37 ↑
(3.1) |
3.11 ↑
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marchamalo
36.7% | Draw
30.4% | Manchego
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marchamalo's performance.Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchamalo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Marchamalo - Manchego Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Manchego will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).Including home matches between the teams, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 15 |
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| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 25.10.25 | Manchego - Marchamalo | 2:1 | | 19.10.24 | Manchego - Marchamalo | 2:0 | | 22.04.23 | Manchego - Marchamalo | 3:1 | | 08.01.23 | Marchamalo - Manchego | 3:1 | | 13.01.19 | Marchamalo - Manchego | 0:2 | | 26.08.18 | Manchego - Marchamalo | 2:1 |
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