Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Marco 09		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4
	1.44	3.9	6.8
	1.37	3.76	9.65
	1.44	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)	3.7 ↑ (3.25)	6.81 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
61.4%

Draw
25%

Cinfães
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco 09's performance.

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cinfães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco 09 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cinfães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marco 09 - Cinfães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).

Marco is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cinfães is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Coimbrões - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alpendorada - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marco 09 - Camacha	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWL
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Cinfães - Camacha	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Régua - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cinfães - Leça	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cinfães - Machico	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.11.24	Cinfães - Marco 09	2:1

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