Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa) 🌤️ ...


	Marek Dupnitsa		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.00	3.35
	2.51	2.80	2.93
	2.47	2.82	3.05	Watch
	2.45	2.65	2.90
	2.31	3.09	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
38.8%

Draw
31.6%

Beroe Stara Zagora
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

30.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marek Dupnitsa's form might have worsened.

Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Marek Dupnitsa - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 10. Ganchev N. 90. Georgiev P. 19. Goranov D. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 16. Mechev S. 11. Miletic M. 3. Petkov M. 2. Plyakov N. 23. Viyachki E.	1. Goshev I. (G) 21. Bandev N. 9. Diamanka C. 4. Dinev D. 20. Dinev Z. 8. Dual W. 10. Ferrer I. 2. Mihaylov L. 24. Mitev H. 23. Rami H. 17. Valchev G.
Substitutes
88. Ajoku E. 38. Dyulgerov A. 22. Georgiev M. 71. Kaninski K. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Sandev R. 27. Todorov N. 9. Velichkov B. 18. Yordanov R.	22. Bertino G. 13. Filipov V. 11. Georgiev M. 30. Kazakov I. 6. Mitev I. 18. Rusenov S. 7. Veshev S. 19. Yanev D. 12. Yordanov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 3 - 2, ⚽,
72', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 6th).

Marek has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Beroe is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Marek could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Marek holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Marek has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:7 (averaging 0:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Marek against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21:16	5	21
12	Marek	13	5	3	5	15:15	0	18

Last Results with these Odds

Beroe Stara Zagora - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Rilski Sportist	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yantra Gabrovo - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLW
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Cup
04.10.26	Minyor Pernik - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Yantra Gabrovo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nesebar - Beroe Stara Zagora	4:3 ✺
13.09.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.12.14	Marek Dupnitsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:3
13.09.14	Beroe Stara Zagora - Marek Dupnitsa	4:0

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