Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Margate		Bognor Regis Town

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Margate
28.9%

Draw
25.9%

Bognor Regis Town
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 1.

Margate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bognor Regis is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bognor Regis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bognor Regis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Margate won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.01.24	Margate - Concord Rangers	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Whitehawk - Margate	3:2 ✺
01.01.24	Margate - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Cray Wanderers - Margate	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Margate - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.01.24	Hashtag United - Bognor Regis Town	4:5 ✺
09.01.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Bognor Regis Town - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
30.12.23	Bognor Regis Town - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLT

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:2
14.03.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	1:0
05.11.22	Margate - Bognor Regis Town	2:0
26.03.22	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	4:1
20.11.21	Margate - Bognor Regis Town	1:2
24.10.20	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:0
04.01.20	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	1:2

Margate - Bognor Regis Town