Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Cray Wanderers		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.7
	1.8	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.83	4.01	3.72
	1.81	4.01	3.72
	1.73	3.6	3.5
	1.8	3.66	3.66
	1.8	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.09)	3.71 ↑ (3.38)	3.69 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
50.8%

Draw
24.5%

Margate
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cray Wanderers's performance.

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Margate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cray Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cray Wanderers - Margate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cray will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 18 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cray won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Cray is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cray won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Cray won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Hashtag United - Cray Wanderers	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Cray Wanderers - Haringey Borough	3:3 ✺
29.11.23	Cray Wanderers - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Cray Wanderers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Weston-super-Mare - Cray Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTL
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Margate - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Enfield Town - Margate	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Margate - Billericay Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.22	Margate - Cray Wanderers	0:3
29.08.22	Cray Wanderers - Margate	1:0
27.12.21	Cray Wanderers - Margate	2:3
30.08.21	Margate - Cray Wanderers	2:1
01.01.20	Margate - Cray Wanderers	3:4
21.08.19	Cray Wanderers - Margate	3:2
18.01.14	Cray Wanderers - Margate	1:4

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