Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.82
	3.4	3.9	1.82
	3.22	4.38	1.87
	3.26	4.24	1.83
	3.6	3.6	1.73
	3.36	3.68	1.89
	3.4	3.9	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.93)	3.93 ↑ (3.58)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
27.1%

Draw
23.1%

Chatham Town
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.4%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chatham Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chatham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bognor Regis Town - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 6)
11', 0 - 1, Aidoo K. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Ufuah J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, Ufuah J. ⚽,
36', 0 - 4, Evans J. ⚽,
40', 0 - 5, Sears F. ⚽,
42', 0 - 6, Evans J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 7, Sears F. ⚽,
78', 1 - 7, Siyabonga L. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Bognor Regis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chatham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chatham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chatham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.11.24	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Chatham Town - Whitehawk	5:0 ✺
19.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Slough Town - Chatham Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Chatham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.01.24	Bognor Regis Town - Chatham Town	2:1
12.08.23	Chatham Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:0

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