Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday


	Margate		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.1	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.19	3.63	2.95
	2.19	3.63	2.95
	2.16	3.4	2.98
	2.1	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
42.7%

Draw
26.2%

Folkestone Invicta
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Margate - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 2.

Margate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Folkestone has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Margate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Margate will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Margate won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.23	Cray Wanderers - Margate	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Margate - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Enfield Town - Margate	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLT
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hashtag United	1:3 ✺
26.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:5 ✺
16.12.23	Horsham - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Folkestone Invicta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.09.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	1:3
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.08.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	2:0
10.04.23	Margate - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
02.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	4:0
18.04.22	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	0:1
01.01.22	Margate - Folkestone Invicta	3:1
26.12.19	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	4:0

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