Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Aldershot Town		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.4	5.06	5.59
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.41	4.6	6.55	Watch
	1.39	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.65 ↑ (4.5)	6.21 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
65.5%

Draw
19.7%

Lewes
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

19.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Aldershot Town - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Aldershot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lewes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aldershot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
07.10.23	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:2 ✺
26.09.23	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Boreham Wood - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WLWTW
- Lewes FC
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Lewes - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.09.23	Lewes - Hastings United	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Chatham Town - Lewes	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.09.23	Ascot United - Lewes	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL

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