Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	4.1	4	1.58
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.4	4.35	1.62
	4.4	4.36	1.63
	4.6	4	1.59
	4.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (4.06)	4.12 ↓ (4.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
20.7%

Draw
22.2%

Wingate & Finchley
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

21.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.2%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Wingate & Finchley aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Carvalho R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Carvalho R. ⚽,
69', Day H. 🟨,
90+4', Omope S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Concord has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wingate & Finchley is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wingate & Finchley to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Concord won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.24	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Concord Rangers - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Lewes - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Concord Rangers - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Wingate & Finchley - Concord Rangers	2:0
English FA Cup
26.09.15	Wingate & Finchley - Concord Rangers	2:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.03.13	Concord Rangers - Wingate & Finchley	4:1

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