Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.8	7
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.34	5.55	6.49
	1.35	5.55	6.49
	1.31	4.95	7.6
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)	5.14 ↓ (5.25)	7.1 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
69.3%

Draw
17.8%

Wingate & Finchley
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.3%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hornchurch have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Long E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Long E. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Muldoon O. ⚽,
90+2', Muldoon O. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 4.

Hornchurch is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wingate & Finchley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wingate & Finchley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wingate & Finchley have a series of guest games.

In this match Hornchurch is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hornchurch to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Whitehawk - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
19.03.24	Hastings United - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hornchurch - Billericay Town	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Enfield Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	1:4
14.03.23	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	2:4
05.11.22	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
23.04.22	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2
11.12.21	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	1:2
06.10.20	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
07.12.19	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	2:3

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