Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Margveti Zestafoni		Iberia 1999 2

	1	X	2
	3.93	4.36	1.57
	4.08	4.49	1.58	Watch
	5	3.9	1.5
	5.49	4.35	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (8.2)	4.28 ↓ (4.6)	1.53 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margveti Zestafoni
19.6%

Draw
21.2%

Iberia 1999 2
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

19.9%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

19%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margveti Zestafoni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Margveti Zestafoni's performance.

Iberia 1999 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iberia 1999 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margveti Zestafoni than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Margveti Zestafoni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 2 than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iberia 1999 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Margveti Zestafoni - Iberia 1999 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Margveti will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Iberia 1999 2 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Margveti (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Margveti (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Margveti (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.77) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Margveti (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Papava S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Darsavelidze T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: )).

Margveti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iberia 1999 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iberia 1999 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iberia 1999 2 is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Iberia 1999 2	22	11	8	3	34:16	18	41
10	Margveti 2006	22	9	3	10	30:35	-5	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margveti Zestafoni
Georgian Liga 3
21.05.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Iveria Khashuri	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Iberia 2010 - Margveti Zestafoni	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Margveti Zestafoni	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Iberia 1999 2
Georgian Liga 3
21.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Gardabani	6:0 ✺
07.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Didube - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Orbi	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	WIT Georgia - Iberia 1999 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWL

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