Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Pevidem		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8
	1.4	4.25	5.5
	1.31	5.23	8.8
	1.29	5.2	8.4
	1.3	4.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	4.8 ↑ (3.93)	7.74 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
69.1%

Draw
19.1%

Maria da Fonte
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pevidem's performance.

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria da Fonte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pevidem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pevidem - Maria da Fonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 12).

Pevidem is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maria da Fonte is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pevidem is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pevidem to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Brito - Pevidem	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	Pevidem - São Martinho	4:1 ✺
19.03.23	Vila Meã - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Pevidem - Vianense	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tirsense - Pevidem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Maria da Fonte - Desportivo Monção	2:6 ✺
02.04.23	Maria da Fonte - Brito	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	São Martinho - Maria da Fonte	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Maria da Fonte - Vila Meã	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Vianense - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Pevidem	3:2

Pevidem - Maria da Fonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide