Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maria da Fonte		Vila Meã

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Maria da Fonte
32.2%

Draw
30%

Vila Meã
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.2%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Maria da Fonte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Meã is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Meã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.03.23	Vianense - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Vila Meã - Brito	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	São Martinho - Vila Meã	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Desportivo Monção - Vila Meã	2:4 ✺
12.02.23	Vila Meã - Vianense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Tirsense - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Vila Meã - Maria da Fonte	4:0

Maria da Fonte - Vila Meã