Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 20

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Maria da Fonte		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	1.98
	3.5	2.8	2.05
	4.08	2.92	2.04
	3.82	3.24	1.94
	3.4	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria da Fonte
24.9%

Draw
29.9%

Tirsense
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.4%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

28.4%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Maria da Fonte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tirsense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tirsense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Bragança - Maria da Fonte	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Tirsense - Brito	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	São Martinho - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Tirsense - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Vianense - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Tirsense - Maria da Fonte	2:0

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