Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Vianense		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.49	3.65	5.25
	1.53	3.88	5.95
	1.54	3.84	5.65
	1.54	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)	5.45 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
59.3%

Draw
24.1%

Maria da Fonte
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Maria da Fonte aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vianense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maria da Fonte is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vianense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vianense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vianense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Brito - Vianense	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Vianense - São Martinho	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Vila Meã - Vianense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Desportivo Monção - Vianense	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Vianense - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWTL
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	2:3
20.02.22	Vianense - Maria da Fonte	0:1
28.11.21	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	2:0
10.03.21	Vianense - Maria da Fonte	0:3
04.10.20	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	1:0

Vianense - Maria da Fonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide