Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Higler D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 4
Hungary	20:00	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Serbia	20:00	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 1


	Maribor		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.52	4.26	5.6
	1.56	3.78	6.10	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.7	3.82	5.26	Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)	5.04 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
56.9%

Draw
24.6%

Paksi SE
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor's performance.

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	14.3%	3.6%

Maribor - Paksi SE Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Maribor (votes: 6 - 60%). Paks (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Maribor (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Maribor (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Maribor will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Maribor (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paks (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (C) 5. Sirvys P. 6. Mbondo B. 44. Rekik O. 3. Bumbic C. 41. Bamba M. 4. Viher N. 8. Taylor E. 2. Soudani El A. 30. Tetteh B. 70. Tshipamba I.	1. Kovacsik A. (G) 2. Kinyik A. 30. Szabo J. (C) 5. Vecsei B. 17. Hinora K. 22. Windecker J. 21. Papp K. 8. Balogh B. 20. Zeke M. 10. Haraszti Z. 29. Toth B.
Substitutes
81. Antonic N. (G) 25. Belovic N. 21. Borys K. 97. Cuk T. 29. Gucek L. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 7. Komaromi G. 99. Mbina O. 17. Ojo S. 18. Osterc N. 12. Sikosek G. 55. Spanring M.	7. Adam M. 13. Bode D. 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 19. Horvath K. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 15. Szendrei A.
Coaches
Tanrivermis T.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Tshipamba I. ⚽, Taylor E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sirvys P. ↓, Spanring M. ↑,
46', Tshipamba I. ↓, Ojo S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Haraszti Z. ⚽,
63', Taylor E. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
75', Haraszti Z. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
76', Bumbic C. ↓, Komaromi G. ↑,
83', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
88', Rekik O. ↓, Gucek L. ↑,
90+2', Balogh B. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maribor is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maribor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.07.25	Domžale - Maribor	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paksi SE - Maribor	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.07.25	Maribor - Celje	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Maribor - Hull City U21	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLT?
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
27.07.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paksi SE - Maribor	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	CFR Cluj - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	Paksi SE - CFR Cluj	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Paksi SE - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paksi SE - Maribor	1:0

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