Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 9

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Maricá		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	5.00
	1.55	3.75	5.9
	1.53	4.01	5.68
	1.98	2.57	5.16	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.49	3.74	6.14
	1.6	3.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	5.57 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá
57.3%

Draw
26.3%

Audax Rio
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

25.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Maricá - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 3.

Maricá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Audax Rio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Audax Rio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maricá is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Serrano FC - Maricá	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Maricá - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Velo Clube - Maricá	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.06.26	Araruama - Maricá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
30.05.26	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWW
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Audax Rio - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Bonsucesso - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
10.09.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	0:0
04.09.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.08.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	4:3
04.08.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0
31.07.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	0:1
19.06.21	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0
18.10.20	Maricá - Audax Rio	2:1

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