Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: CT Joao Saldanha (Rio de Janeiro)


	Maricá		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.52
	3	2.88	2.75
	2.91	2.86	2.66	Watch
	2.88	2.7	2.45
	3.09	2.78	2.59
	3	2.8	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.84 ↓ (2.98)	2.61 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá
31.5%

Draw
32.9%

Volta Redonda
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Maricá - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yuri Duarte (G) 2. Magno Nunes 3. Victor Pereira 4. Rafael Forster 6. Rafael Carioca 7. Caio Vitor 8. Wellington 11. Almir Silva 5. Magno Souza 10. Valdenilson 9. Pablo Thomaz (C)	1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 14. Rafael Castro 3. Lucas Adell 22. Juninho Monteiro 5. Bruno Barra (C) 21. Henrique Silva 11. MV 10. PK 7. Marquinhos 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
22. Bernardo 19. da Silveira Rodrigues V. 15. Fernandes L. B. 12. Gerson Dida (G) 25. Julio Cesar (G) 16. Marcelinho 20. Octavio Manteca 23. Oliver 18. Rafael Lucas 14. Sandro Silva 21. Vinicius Matheus 17. Wendel	13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 12. Deivity (G) 23. Faria J. 26. Joao Valenca 30. Juninho Ramos 20. Kaua Uba 27. Mizael Monteiro 25. Vitor Parana 17. Wagninho
Coaches
Reinaldo	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, MV ⚽, Ygor Catatau (A),
43', 0 - 2, Ygor Catatau ⚽,
45', Rafael Carioca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Valdenilson ↓, da Silveira Rodrigues V. ↑,
46', Wellington ↓, Rafael Lucas ↑,
59', Almir Silva 🟨,
61', Pablo Thomaz 🟨,
65', Avelino ↓, Deivity ↑,
67', PK ↓, Wagninho ↑,
70', Wellington Silva 🟨,
72', Magno Souza 🟨,
77', Almir Silva ↓, Oliver ↑,
81', Rafael Forster 🟨,
82', Rafael Forster ↓, Sandro Silva ↑,
87', Wellington Silva ↓, Alan ↑,
88', Marquinhos ↓, Juninho Ramos ↑,
90', Caio Vitor ↓, Octavio Manteca ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Victor Pereira ⚽,
90+4', Bruno Barra 🟨,
90+5', Magno Nunes 🟨,
90+7', Alan 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Maricá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
27.01.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Maricá - Bangu	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Maricá	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
06.09.25	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.25	Vila Nova - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
06.02.25	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:1
Brazilian Copa Rio
26.10.24	Volta Redonda - Maricá	1:2 penalties
16.10.24	Maricá - Volta Redonda	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.05.22	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:0

Maricá - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide