Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 38

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Vila Nova		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.95
	1.9	3.2	4.73
	1.85	3.29	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.3	5.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	4.93 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
52.4%

Draw
28.7%

Volta Redonda
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Vila Nova - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vila Nova (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Volta Redonda (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 50%). Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Hugo (G) 2. Thalys 3. Tiago Pagnussat 4. Weverton 13. Willian Formiga 5. Joao Vieira (C) 15. Enzo 20. Gustavo Paje 9. Andrey L. 11. Vinicius Paiva 17. Emerson Urso	1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva (C) 3. Igor Morais 4. Lucas Ramires 6. Caio Roque 8. Dener 15. Adsson 49. Daniel Cabral 7. Joao Pedro 9. Ygor Catatau 11. Vitinho Lopes
Substitutes
7. Andre Luis 16. Breno 10. Dodo 22. Guilherme Vieira 99. Halls (G) 18. Henrique Soares L. 21. Joao Caixeta 23. Pedro Romano 8. Ralf 19. Ruan Ribeiro 14. Walisson Maia 6. Ykaro Santos Silva R.	13. Caetano 19. Joao Henrique 18. Kaua Uba 99. Kayke 17. Kerlinho 16. Leo Ceara 14. Lyncon 22. Yago Oliveira (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dener ⚽,
38', Adsson 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Emerson Urso ⚽,
42', Gustavo Paje 🟨,
44', Caio Roque 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Emerson Urso ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
57', Andrey L. ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
57', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Dodo ↑,
66', Avelino 🟨,
66', Adsson ↓, Lyncon ↑,
66', Daniel Cabral ↓, Caetano ↑,
67', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
70', Enzo ↓, Ralf ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Lucas Ramires ⚽, Caio Roque (A),
75', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
76', Willian Formiga ↓, Henrique Soares L. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Gustavo Paje ⚽, Weverton (A),
86', Dener ↓, Kayke ↑,
86', Ygor Catatau ↓, Kerlinho ↑,
89', Igor Morais 🟨,
90+4', Thalys 🟨,
90+5', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
90+8', Joao Pedro ↓, Kaua Uba ↑,
90+10', Gustavo Paje 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Volta Redonda is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

Vila Nova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volta Redonda has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Bruno Mendes (Inactive) Elias (Yellow Cards) Higor (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive) Pedro Romano (Inactive)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Bruno Barra (Yellow Cards) Chay (Inactive) Du Fernandes (Knee Injury) Fabricio (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Guilherme Parede (Muscle Injury) Junior Todinho (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Ygor Catatau (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Vila Nova - Avaí	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vila Nova - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTTL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Volta Redonda - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.07.25	Volta Redonda - Vila Nova	2:1

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