Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Volta Redonda		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.95
	1.85	3.62	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.82	3.36	3.96
	1.9	3.66	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.84)	3.43 ↑ (3.17)	3.88 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
49.5%

Draw
26.8%

Flamengo
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Volta Redonda - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Flamengo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volta Redonda: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Volta Redonda (1.60) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Volta Redonda (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Volta Redonda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 3. Lucas Adell 14. Rafael Castro 6. Jean Victor 8. Dener 5. Bruno Barra (C) 17. Wagninho 10. PK 11. MV 9. Ygor Catatau	58. Leo Nannetti (G) 51. Daniel Sales 57. Iago Teodoro (C) 61. Joao Victor 43. Joao Carbone 69. Nobrega K. 81. Douglas Telles 56. Pablo Lucio 47. Guilherme Gomes 59. Alan 79. Joshua
Substitutes
13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 12. Deivity (G) 45. Guilherme Nunes (G) 21. Henrique Silva 26. Joao Valenca 30. Juninho Monteiro 20. Kaua Uba 25. Leandro P. 27. Mizael Monteiro 23. Victor J.	66. Bruno 41. Da Mata 87. Daniel Carvalho 74. Gusttavo 71. Henrique Vieira Batista P. (G) 80. Joao Camargo 67. Kaio Junior 72. Lucas Vieira 86. Ryan Roberto 63. Viana de Oliveira D. 54. Vitor J. 76. Wanderson
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Joao Carbone 🟨,
11', Joao Carbone 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, MV ⚽, Ygor Catatau (A),
21', Nobrega K. ↓, Gusttavo ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Douglas Telles ↓, Wanderson ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Rafael Castro ⚽, Wagninho (A),
64', PK ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
69', Alan ↓, Viana de Oliveira D. ↑,
81', MV ↓, Kaua Uba ↑,
81', Wellington Silva ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
81', Joshua ↓, Lucas Vieira ↑,
81', Daniel Sales ↓, Ryan Roberto ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Dener ⚽, Wagninho (A),
89', Dener ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
89', Lucas Adell ↓, Faria J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 0.

Flamengo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Volta Redonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.25	Vila Nova - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTLL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Bangu - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
17.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Flamengo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Flamengo - Pyramids	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Cruz Azul - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.25	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:2
10.02.24	Flamengo - Volta Redonda	3:0
15.02.23	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	1:3
29.01.22	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:0
08.05.21	Flamengo - Volta Redonda	4:1
01.05.21	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:3
24.04.21	Flamengo - Volta Redonda	2:1

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