The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maricá 39.4%
Draw 34.8%
Resende 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
31.6%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
31.6%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Resende might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resende could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Maricá - Resende Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Goncalves Oliveira Y. V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Maricá is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Resende is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Resende has had a series of home games.
Maricá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Maricá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.